Polls, Polls, Polls on Proposition 227

Between October 1997 and June 1998, there were thirteen statewide California public opinion polls by non-partisan organizations on Proposition 227, the
“English for the Children” initiative against bilingual education. All showed the measure with a wide lead, but the results varied considerably based on the question asked and the sample size.







(1) Los Angeles Times Poll, Oct. 4-7, 1997, 1092 registered voters

.


“There is a new initiative trying to qualify for the June primary ballot that would require all public school instruction to be conducted in English and for students not fluent in English to be placed in a short-term English immersion program. If the June 1998 primary election were being held today,
would you vote for or against this measure?”






































? All DEM REP IND Whites Latinos
Vote for 80 73 89 80 80 84
Vote against 18 23 10 17 18 16
Don’t know 2 4 1 3 2 *


(2) California Field Poll, Nov. 12-23, 1997, 696 registered voters (101 Latinos, 49 Asians, 44 blacks).



“This initiative requires that all public school instruction be conducted in English. It provides for initial short-term placement, not normally exceeding one year, in intensive, sheltered English immersion programs for children not fluent in English. It would also appropriate 50 million dollars per year for ten years to fund English instruction for individuals pledging to provide personal English tutoring to children in their community. If the election were being held today, would you be inclined to vote YES or NO on this initiative?”














































?AllDEMREPOthersWhitesLatinosBlackAsian
Vote YES6962767171667155
Vote NO2428202422302235
Undecided7104574710





(3) California Field Poll, Jan. 29-Feb.2, 1998, 729 registered voters
(48 Latinos, 29 Asians, 30 blacks).



“This initiative requires that all public school instruction be conducted in English. It provides for initial short-term placement, not normally exceeding one year, in intensive, sheltered English immersion programs for children not fluent in English. It would also appropriate 50 million dollars per year for ten years to fund English instruction for individuals pledging to provide personal English tutoring to children in their community. If the election were being held today, would you be inclined to vote YES or NO on this initiative?”














































?AllDEMREPOthersWhiteLatinoBlackAsian
Vote YES6660736168466379
Vote NO2734183024453710
Undecided769989*11





(4) San Francisco Examiner Poll, Feb. 19-21, 444 likely voters



“Proposition 227, titled `Education, Public Schools, English as Required Language of Instruction Initiative Statute,’ will appear on the June primary ballot. If approved, it would require all public school instruction to be conducted in English with certain exceptions and appropriate $50 million per year for 10 years to fund English instruction programs for persons who pledge to provide personal English tutoring to children in their community.
If you were voting on Proposition 227 today, would you vote YES or NO?”



















?All
Vote YES67
Vote NO24
Undecided9





(5) California Field Poll, Mar. 5-15, 1998, 727 likely voters (71 Latino,
40 Black, 59 Asian).



“Proposition 227 requires that all public school instruction be in English, unless parents request otherwise and show certain circumstances.
It provides English immersion programs for children learning English and funds community English instruction. Fiscal impact on individual school districts could vary significantly by district, but total state spending on education probably would not change. If the election were being held today, would you vote YES or NO on proposition 227?”














































? All DEM REP Others White Latino Black Asian
Vote YES 70 57 84 67 71 61 63 75
Vote NO 20 29 10 20 18 34 30 14
Undecided 10 14 7 13 11 5 7 11





(6) Public Policy Institute of California/Baldassare Poll, Apr. 1-8,
1998, 1,623 registered voters.



“Proposition 227, the `English for the Children” initiative on the June ballot, requires all public school instruction to be conducted in English. It provides short-term placement, usually not for more than one year, in English immersion programs for children not fluent in English.
If the election were being held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 227?”






















? All Latinos
Vote YES 76 57
Vote NO 20 40
Undecided 4 3





(7) Los Angeles Times Poll, Apr. 4-9, 1998, 1,105 registered voters.




“Proposition 227, the English Language in Public Schools Initiative Statute, would require all public school instruction to be conducted in English. The requirement may be waived if parents show that the child already knows English or has special needs, or would learn English faster through an alternate technique. It would also provide short-term placement not normally exceeding one year in intensive sheltered English immersion programs for children not fluent in English. And the measure would also provide 50 million dollars per year for ten years to provide English instruction for individuals pledging to provide English tutoring to children in their community. Having heard more, if the primary election were being held today, would you vote for or against this initiative?






































?AllDEMREPOthersWhiteLatinoBlack
Vote YES63626365665067
Vote NO24232425233219
Undecided13151310111814





(8) California Field Poll, Apr. 20-28, 1998, 649 likely voters



“Proposition 227 requires that all public school instruction be in English, unless parents request otherwise and show certain circumstances.
It provides English immersion programs for children learning English and funds community English instruction. Fiscal impact on individual school districts could vary significantly by district, but total state spending on education probably would not change. If the election were being held today, would you vote YES or NO on proposition 227?”














































?AllDEMREPOthersWhiteLatinoBlackAsian
Vote YES7161826873586674
Vote NO2129112419411823
Undecided8107881163

(9) Public Policy Institute of California/Baldassare Poll, May. 1-6, 1998, 960 likely voters:

“Proposition 227, the ?English Language in Public Schools? initiative on the June ballot, requires that all public school instruction be conducted in English. It provides short-term placement, usually for not more than one year, in English immersion programs for children not fluent in English. The measure would also provide 50 million dollars per year for ten years for English tutoring. If the election were being held today, would you vote yes or no on Proposition 227?”






















? All Latinos
Vote YES 67 48
Vote NO 28 48
Undecided 5 4

(10) Los Angeles Times Poll, May 16-20, 1998, 1097 registered voters:

“Proposition 227, the English Language in Public Schools Initiative Statute, would require all public school instruction to be conducted in English. The requirement may be waived if parents show that the child already knows English or has special needs, or would learn English faster through an alternate technique. It would also provide short-term placement not normally exceeding one year in intensive sheltered English immersion programs for children not fluent in English. And the measure would also provide 50 million dollars per year for ten years to provide English instruction for individuals pledging to provide English tutoring to children in their community. Having heard more, if the primary election were being held today, would you vote for or against this initiative?






































? All Likely DEM REP Others White Latino
Vote YES 63 63 61 66 59 64 62
Vote NO 25 23 28 19 31 23 26
Undecided 12 14 11 15 10 13 12

(11) California Field Poll, May 20-26, 1998, 714 likely voters (86 Latino, 49 Black, 53 Asian):

“Proposition 227 requires that all public school instruction be in English, unless parents request otherwise and show certain circumstances. It provides English immersion programs for children learning English and funds community English instruction. Fiscal impact on individual school districts could vary significantly by district, but total state spending on education probably would not change. If the election were being held today, would you vote YES or NO on proposition 227?”










































? All DEM REP Others White Latino Black Asian
Vote YES 61 44 78 65 63 52 48 60
Vote NO 33 48 16 27 31 38 37 32
Undecided 6 8 6 8 6 10 15 8

(12) San Francisco Examiner Poll, May 26-27, 688 likely voters:

“Proposition 227, titled ‘Education, Public Schools, English as Required Language of Instruction Initiative Statute,’ will appear on the June primary ballot. If approved, it would require all public school instruction to be conducted in English with certain exceptions and appropriate $50 million per year for 10 years to fund English instruction programs for persons who pledge to provide personal English tutoring to children in their community. If you were voting on Proposition 227 today, would you vote YES or NO?”


































? All Men Wom DEM REP Others
Vote YES 62 65 59 54 72 65
Vote NO 27 25 33 33 20 23
Undecided 11 10 12 13 8 12

(13) Los Angeles Times/CNN Exit Poll, June 2, 1998, 5143 voters at 100 polling places.

Voters willing to be surveyed outside polling places were asked to provide their ballot choices by questionnaire. The undisclosed raw results were then adjusted using an undisclosed methodology to produce the final published results.





































? All Men Wom DEM REP Others White Latino Black Asian
Vote YES 61 64 57 47 77 59 67 37 48 57
Vote NO 39 36 43 53 23 41 33 63 52 43





Comments are closed.